Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction
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Match events
1 goal- Raphinhayellow card8'
- ⚽Ronald Araújoassist João Cancelo24'
- Lamine Yamalyellow card26'
- 34'Óscar Valentínyellow card
- ⇄Robert Lewandowskion46'
- 46'⇄Carlos Martínon
- 46'⇄Óscar Valentínon
- 59'⇄Gerard Gumbauon
- 59'⇄Pedro Díazon
- ⇄Marc Bernalon61'
- ⇄Fermín Lópezon61'
- 65'Fran Pérezyellow card
- 67'Pathé Cissyellow card
- Pau Cubarsíyellow card72'
- ⇄Lamine Yamalon82'
- 82'⇄Fran Pérezon
- 88'Isi Palazónyellow card
- ⇄João Canceloon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 1.36Expected goals (xG)1.83
- 15Shots8
- 4Shots on target4
- 6Corners9
- 12Fouls11
- 3Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides3
- 4Saves3
- 484Passes294
Line-ups
Barcelona
- 9Robert Lewandowski
- 2João Cancelo
- 11Raphinha
- 8Pedri
- 4Ronald Araújo
- 13Joan García
- 10Lamine Yamal
- 18Gerard Martín
- 16Fermín López
- 5Pau Cubarsí
- 22Marc Bernal
Rayo Vallecano
- 24Florian Lejeune
- 15Gerard Gumbau
- 2Andrei Rațiu
- 4Pedro Díaz
- 7Isi Palazón
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 6Pathé Ciss
- 21Fran Pérez
- 14Carlos Martín
- 13Augusto Batalla
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
BarcelonaWLWWW
Rayo VallecanoWDWDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 35 | +51 | 85 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | -2 | 48 |
Head to head
- Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano2026-08-31
- Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona2025-08-31
Match preview
Barcelona host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 22 March 2026. Barcelona sit 1st on 85 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Barcelona have won 4 of their last 5 (WLWWW), while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of 5 (WDWDD). In their last 2 meetings, Barcelona won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
