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FTMatchday 23

Barcelona vs Mallorca: Prediction

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Match events

3 goals
BarcelonaMallorca
  1. Robert Lewandowskiassist Dani Olmo29'
  2. Lamine Yamalassist Dani Olmo61'
  3. 62'Mateu Moreyon
  4. 62'Pablo Torreon
  5. 62'Jan Virgilion
  6. Marcus Rashfordon67'
  7. Dani Olmoon67'
  8. 77'Samú Costaon
  9. 77'Vedat Muriqion
  10. Robert Lewandowskion78'
  11. Lamine Yamalon78'
  12. Marc Bernalassist Fermín83'
  13. Fermínon84'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BarcelonaMallorca
  • 76%Possession24%
  • 2.63Expected goals (xG)0.80
  • 24Shots9
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 12Corners3
  • 7Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides3
  • 4Saves4
  • 774Passes238

Line-ups

Barcelona

  • 9Robert Lewandowski
  • 14Marcus Rashford
  • 23Jules Koundé
  • 20Dani Olmo
  • 24Eric García
  • 3Alejandro Balde
  • 13Joan García
  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 16Fermín
  • 17Marc Casadó
  • 5Pau Cubarsí

Mallorca

  • 5Omar Mascarell
  • 22Johan Mojica
  • 23Pablo Maffeo
  • 24Martin Valjent
  • 7Vedat Muriqi
  • 2Mateu Morey
  • 12Samú Costa
  • 20Pablo Torre
  • 1Leo Román
  • 27David López
  • 17Jan Virgili

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1540 – 1481

Recent form

BarcelonaWWLWW
MallorcaLLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona35+5185
2Mallorca35-841

Head to head

  • Mallorca 0–3 Barcelona2025-08-16

Match preview

Barcelona host Mallorca in the La Liga on 7 February 2026. Barcelona sit 1st on 85 points and Mallorca are 12th on 41. Barcelona have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Mallorca have won 2 of 5 (LLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Barcelona won 1, Mallorca won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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