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FTMatchday 11

Barcelona vs Elche: Prediction

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Match events

4 goals
BarcelonaElche
  1. Lamine Yamalassist Alejandro Balde9'
  2. Ferran Torresassist Fermín11'
  3. 35'Martim Carvalho Netoyellow card
  4. 42'Rafa Mirassist Álvaro Núñez
  5. 46'Martim Carvalho Netoon
  6. Marcus Rashfordassist Fermín61'
  7. Fermínon66'
  8. 70'Germán Valeraon
  9. 70'Pedro Bigason
  10. Marcus Rashfordon74'
  11. Alejandro Baldeon74'
  12. 74'André Silvaon
  13. 82'Adrià Pedrosaon
  14. Ferran Torreson88'
  15. Lamine Yamalon88'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BarcelonaElche
  • 49%Possession51%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 17Shots9
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 6Corners3
  • 12Fouls16
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides5
  • 2Saves2
  • 413Passes435

Line-ups

Barcelona

  • 25Wojciech Szczesny
  • 14Marcus Rashford
  • 7Ferran Torres
  • 23Jules Koundé
  • 21Frenkie de Jong
  • 24Eric García
  • 4Ronald Araújo
  • 3Alejandro Balde
  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 16Fermín
  • 17Marc Casadó

Elche

  • 10Rafa Mir
  • 9André Silva
  • 6Pedro Bigas
  • 3Adrià Pedrosa
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 13Iñaki Peña
  • 16Martim Carvalho Neto
  • 15Álvaro Núñez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1540 – 1468

Recent form

BarcelonaLLWWL
ElcheDWLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona35+5185
2Elche35-840

Head to head

  • Elche 0–5 Barcelona2026-08-23
  • Elche 1–3 Barcelona2026-01-31

Match preview

Barcelona host Elche in the La Liga on 2 November 2025. Barcelona sit 1st on 85 points and Elche are 15th on 40. Barcelona have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWL), while Elche have won 1 of 5 (DWLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Barcelona won 2, Elche won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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