Kick-off · Sun, 1 Nov, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 11
Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
Barcelona71%Home win
Deportivo Alavés71% Home win18% Draw11% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.24 – 0.75
Team rating (Elo)1525 – 1469
Recent form
BarcelonaWWWLLDeportivo AlavésLDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Barcelona2026-05-13
- Barcelona 3–1 Deportivo Alavés2025-11-29
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
