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FTMatchday 33

Barcelona vs Celta Vigo: Prediction

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Match events

1 goal
BarcelonaCelta Vigo
  1. João Canceloon23'
  2. Lamine Yamalpenalty40'
  3. Lamine Yamalon45'
  4. Gavion46'
  5. 59'Yoel Lagoyellow card
  6. 63'Hugo Álvarezon
  7. 63'Yoel Lagoon
  8. 72'Pablo Duránon
  9. Ferran Torreson73'
  10. Dani Olmoon73'
  11. 81'Ferran Jutglàon
  12. 81'Fer Lópezon
  13. Eric Garcíayellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BarcelonaCelta Vigo
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 1.23Expected goals (xG)1.41
  • 10Shots6
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 5Corners3
  • 13Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 3Saves2
  • 710Passes455

Line-ups

Barcelona

  • 2João Cancelo
  • 7Ferran Torres
  • 23Jules Koundé
  • 20Dani Olmo
  • 24Eric García
  • 8Pedri
  • 6Gavi
  • 13Joan García
  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 18Gerard Martín
  • 5Pau Cubarsí

Celta Vigo

  • 20Marcos Alonso
  • 13Ionuț Radu
  • 5Sergio Carreira
  • 6Ilaix Moriba
  • 9Ferran Jutglà
  • 23Hugo Álvarez
  • 29Yoel Lago
  • 17Javi Rueda
  • 32Javi Rodríguez
  • 18Pablo Durán
  • 8Fer López

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1540 – 1492

Recent form

BarcelonaWWWWW
Celta VigoLDLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona35+5185
2Celta Vigo35+347

Head to head

  • Celta Vigo 2–4 Barcelona2025-11-09

Match preview

Barcelona host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 22 April 2026. Barcelona sit 1st on 85 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Celta Vigo have won 1 of 5 (LDLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Barcelona won 1, Celta Vigo won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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