FTMatchday 19

Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

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Barcelona3

Atlético Madrid1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

BarcelonaAtlético Madrid

14'Johnny Cardosoon
19'Álex Baenaassist Nahuel Molina
Raphinhaassist Pedri26'
41'Álex Baenayellow card
Gerard Martínyellow card45'
46'Nicolás Gonzálezon
62'Álex Baenaon
63'Giuliano Simeoneon
Dani Olmo65'
Dani Olmoon66'
Robert Lewandowskion67'
Pedrion74'
Raphinhaon74'
75'Raphinhaon
Lamine Yamalon88'
Ferran Torresassist Alejandro Balde90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BarcelonaAtlético Madrid

58%Possession42%
4Expected goals (xG)1
19Shots7
6Shots on target2
5Corners4
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides4
1Saves3
560Passes391

Line-ups

Barcelona

9Robert Lewandowski
11Raphinha
23Jules Koundé
20Dani Olmo
24Eric García
8Pedri
3Alejandro Balde
13Joan García
10Lamine Yamal
18Gerard Martín
5Pau Cubarsí

Atlético Madrid

13Jan Oblak
2José María Giménez
15Clément Lenglet
17Dávid Hancko
16Nahuel Molina
23Nicolás González
10Álex Baena
19Julián Álvarez
5Johnny Cardoso
8Pablo Barrios
20Giuliano Simeone

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1540 – 1501

Recent form

BarcelonaWDWLW

Atlético MadridWWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	35	+51	85
2	Atlético Madrid	35	+16	62

Head to head

Atlético Madrid 1–2 Barcelona2026-04-04

Match preview

Barcelona host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 2 December 2025. Barcelona sit 1st on 85 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Barcelona have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWLW), while Atlético Madrid have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Barcelona won 1, Atlético Madrid won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.