Kick-off · Wed, 4 Nov, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 4
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Barcelona45%Home win
Aston Villa45% Home win24% Draw31% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.66 – 1.36
Team rating (Elo)1525 – 1541
Recent form
BarcelonaWWWLLAston VillaDWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
