Kick-off · Sat, 26 Dec, 02:00 pm ISTMatchday 17
Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction
Bali United46%Home win
Persebaya Surabaya46% Home win25% Draw29% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.54 – 1.18
Team rating (Elo)1561 – 1563
Recent form
Bali UnitedLWLWDPersebaya SurabayaWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 |
| 2 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
Head to head
- Bali United 1–3 Persebaya Surabaya2026-02-07
- Persebaya Surabaya 5–2 Bali United2025-08-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
