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FTMatchday 5

Auxerre vs Toulouse: Prediction

📍 Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
AuxerreToulouse
  1. 3'Frank Magripenalty
  2. Gideon Mensahyellow card35'
  3. Danny Namasoassist Lassine Sinayoko45'
  4. 50'Dayann Methalieyellow card
  5. 56'Dayann Methalieon
  6. 56'Noah Edjoumaon
  7. 61'Guillaume Restesyellow card
  8. Fredrik Oppegårdred card64'
  9. Sékou Maraon65'
  10. 70'Abu Francison
  11. 70'Rasmus Nicolaisenon
  12. 82'Mark McKenzieyellow card
  13. 82'Yann Gbohoon
  14. 83'Djibril Sidibeyellow card
  15. Lassine Sinayokoon85'
  16. 90'Cristian Cásseres Jr.yellow card
  17. 90'Santiago Hidalgo Massayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AuxerreToulouse
  • 40%Possession60%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 6Shots13
  • 1Shots on target3
  • 3Corners4
  • 12Fouls20
  • 1Yellow cards6
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 3Saves0
  • 301Passes449

Line-ups

Auxerre

  • 4Francisco Sierralta
  • 16Donovan Léon
  • 42Elisha Owusu
  • 9Sékou Mara
  • 14Gideon Mensah
  • 22Fredrik Oppegård
  • 10Lassine Sinayoko
  • 29Marvin Senaya
  • 19Danny Namaso
  • 5Kévin Danois

Toulouse

  • 10Yann Gboho
  • 17Abu Francis
  • 2Rasmus Nicolaisen
  • 23Cristian Cásseres Jr.
  • 3Mark McKenzie
  • 4Charlie Cresswell
  • 15Aron Dønnum
  • 1Guillaume Restes
  • 9Frank Magri
  • 31Noah Edjouma
  • 24Dayann Methalie

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1495

Recent form

AuxerreWLLL
ToulouseWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Toulouse9+213
2Auxerre9-67

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Auxerre host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 21 September 2025. Auxerre sit 17th on 7 points and Toulouse are 9th on 13. Auxerre have won 1 of their last 4 (WLLL), while Toulouse have won 2 of 4 (WWLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming