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FTMatchday 4

Auxerre vs Nice: Prediction

Auxerre1
FT
Nice0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
AuxerreNice
  1. Kévin Danoisyellow card44'
  2. Rémy Labeauon71'
  3. 72'Niels Nkounkouon
  4. 74'Djibril Coulibalyyellow card
  5. Cameron Archerassist Christ Makosso74'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1456 – 1514

Recent form

AuxerreDLLLL
NiceWWDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Nice9+114
2Auxerre8-610

Head to head

  • Nice 3–1 Auxerre2025-08-23

Match preview

Auxerre host Nice in the Ligue 1 on 12 September 2026. Auxerre sit 12th on 10 points and Nice are 7th on 14. Auxerre have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLLL), while Nice have won 2 of 5 (WWDLD). In their last 1 meetings, Auxerre won 0, Nice won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming