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Kick-off · Matchday 12

Auxerre vs Marseille: Prediction

Auxerre
42%Away win
Marseille

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.31 – 1.49
Team rating (Elo)1456 – 1497

Recent form

AuxerreWWLWD
MarseilleLLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Marseille8+512
2Auxerre8-610

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Auxerre host Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 29 November 2026. Auxerre sit 12th on 10 points and Marseille are 9th on 12. Auxerre have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWD), while Marseille have won 3 of 5 (LLWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Auxerre 33%, the draw 25% and Marseille 42%, so Marseille are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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