FTMatchday 1

Auxerre vs Lorient: Prediction

📍 Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Auxerre1

Lorient0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

AuxerreLorient

19'Pablo Pagisyellow card
45'Igor Silvayellow card
Lassine Sinayokoassist Ibrahim Osman53'
Marvin Senayayellow card61'
65'Mohamed Bambaon
65'Joel Mvukaon
66'Pablo Pagison
75'Arsène Kouassion
Ibrahim Osmanon82'
Josué Casimiron82'
Elisha Owusuyellow card87'
Lassine Sinayokoon88'
Fredrik Oppegårdyellow card90'
Gideon Mensahon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

AuxerreLorient

44%Possession56%
1Expected goals (xG)1
7Shots14
3Shots on target3
4Corners4
18Fouls14
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
3Saves2
358Passes465

Line-ups

Auxerre

4Francisco Sierralta
16Donovan Léon
42Elisha Owusu
3Gabriel Osho
14Gideon Mensah
10Lassine Sinayoko
29Marvin Senaya
7Josué Casimir
23Ibrahim Osman
92Clément Akpa
5Kévin Danois

Lorient

6Laurent Abergel
21Bingourou Kamara
2Igor Silva
3Montassar Talbi
93Joel Mvuka
15Aiyegun Tosin
5Formose Mendy
10Pablo Pagis
9Mohamed Bamba
62Arthur Avom
43Arsène Kouassi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1472

Recent form

Auxerre–

Lorient–

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Lorient	9	-9	8
2	Auxerre	9	-6	7

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Auxerre host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 17 August 2025. Auxerre sit 17th on 7 points and Lorient are 16th on 8. There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.