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FTMatchday 9

Auxerre vs Le Havre: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1456 – 1415

Recent form

AuxerreLWLLD
Le HavreLDDDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Le Havre9-59
2Auxerre9-67

Head to head

  • Le Havre 1–3 Auxerre2026-10-18

Match preview

Auxerre host Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 26 October 2025. Auxerre sit 17th on 7 points and Le Havre are 14th on 9. Auxerre have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLLD), while Le Havre have won 0 of 5 (LDDDL). In their last 1 meetings, Auxerre won 1, Le Havre won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming