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FTMatchday 5

Auxerre vs Brest: Prediction

Auxerre2
FT
Brest1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
AuxerreBrest
  1. 23'Pathé Mboupassist Joris Chotard
  2. Rémy Labeauon45'
  3. Arthur Piedforton45'
  4. Cameron Archerassist Danny Namaso47'
  5. 68'Giovani Versinion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1456 – 1485

Recent form

AuxerreLLLLW
BrestLDDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Auxerre8-610
2Brest8+29

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Auxerre host Brest in the Ligue 1 on 20 September 2026. Auxerre sit 12th on 10 points and Brest are 13th on 9. Auxerre have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLLW), while Brest have won 1 of 5 (LDDWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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