Augsburg vs Werder Bremen: Prediction
📍 WWK Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
AugsburgLDLDL
Werder BremenWDDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Werder Bremen | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Werder Bremen 3–2 Augsburg2026-09-19
- Werder Bremen 1–3 Augsburg2026-05-02
- Augsburg 0–0 Werder Bremen2025-12-20
Why the model leans Augsburg
- Augsburg are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Head-to-head in our records: Augsburg 1, Werder Bremen 1, draws 1.
- League table: Augsburg #12, Werder Bremen #3.
- Expected goals from the model: Augsburg 1.8, Werder Bremen 1.4.
Match preview
Augsburg host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2027. Augsburg sit 12th on 8 points and Werder Bremen are 3rd on 14. Augsburg have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDL), while Werder Bremen have won 3 of 5 (WDDWW). In their last 3 meetings, Augsburg won 1, Werder Bremen won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Augsburg 47%, the draw 23% and Werder Bremen 30%, so Augsburg are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
