Augsburg vs Stuttgart: Prediction
📍 WWK Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
AugsburgLDLDL
StuttgartLDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 2–5 Stuttgart2026-03-22
Why the model leans Stuttgart
- Close call: 36% Augsburg, 24% draw, 40% Stuttgart.
- Stuttgart rate higher on our strength scale (1517 vs 1487).
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Expected goals from the model: Augsburg 1.5, Stuttgart 1.6.
Match preview
Augsburg host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 8 May 2027. Augsburg sit 12th on 8 points and Stuttgart are 9th on 9. Augsburg have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDL), while Stuttgart have won 1 of 5 (LDLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Augsburg won 0, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Augsburg 36%, the draw 24% and Stuttgart 40%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
