Augsburg vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
📍 WWK Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
AugsburgLDLDL
RB LeipzigWLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Head to head
- RB Leipzig 2–1 Augsburg2026-03-07
- Augsburg 0–6 RB Leipzig2025-10-25
Why the model leans RB Leipzig
- Close call: 35% Augsburg, 24% draw, 41% RB Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig won 3 of their last 5.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Augsburg 0, RB Leipzig 2, draws 0.
- League table: Augsburg #12, RB Leipzig #6.
Match preview
Augsburg host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 13 March 2027. Augsburg sit 12th on 8 points and RB Leipzig are 6th on 12. Augsburg have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDL), while RB Leipzig have won 3 of 5 (WLLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Augsburg won 0, RB Leipzig won 2 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Augsburg 35%, the draw 24% and RB Leipzig 41%, so RB Leipzig are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
