Kick-off · Sun, 22 Nov, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 10
Augsburg vs Mainz: Prediction
Augsburg45%Home win
Mainz45% Home win23% Draw32% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.71 – 1.40
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1514
Recent form
AugsburgWLDLDMainzWWLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 6 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 6 | +4 | 8 |
Head to head
- Mainz 2–0 Augsburg2026-02-07
- Augsburg 1–4 Mainz2025-09-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
