Augsburg vs Elversberg: Prediction
📍 WWK Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
AugsburgLDLDL
ElversbergDLWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elversberg | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Elversberg 4–3 Augsburg2026-10-17
Why the model leans Augsburg
- Elversberg rate higher on our strength scale (1519 vs 1487).
- Augsburg are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- League table: Augsburg #12, Elversberg #5.
- Expected goals from the model: Augsburg 1.7, Elversberg 1.5.
Match preview
Augsburg host Elversberg in the Bundesliga on 27 February 2027. Augsburg sit 12th on 8 points and Elversberg are 5th on 13. Augsburg have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDL), while Elversberg have won 2 of 5 (DLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Augsburg won 0, Elversberg won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Augsburg 42%, the draw 24% and Elversberg 34%, so Augsburg are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
