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Kick-off · Matchday 19

Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Prediction

📍 WWK Arena

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.85 – 1.30
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1473

Recent form

AugsburgLDLDL
Eintracht FrankfurtDLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Augsburg7+38
2Eintracht Frankfurt7-78

Head to head

  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 Augsburg2026-09-06
  • Augsburg 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt2026-04-25
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 Augsburg2025-12-13

Why the model leans Augsburg

  • Augsburg are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • Head-to-head in our records: Augsburg 1, Eintracht Frankfurt 1, draws 1.
  • Expected goals from the model: Augsburg 1.9, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.3.

Match preview

Augsburg host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on 30 January 2027. Augsburg sit 12th on 8 points and Eintracht Frankfurt are 14th on 8. Augsburg have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDL), while Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of 5 (DLWLW). In their last 3 meetings, Augsburg won 1, Eintracht Frankfurt won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Augsburg 50%, the draw 23% and Eintracht Frankfurt 27%, so Augsburg are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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