Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction
📍 WWK Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
AugsburgLDLDL
Borussia DortmundDWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg2026-03-14
- Augsburg 0–1 Borussia Dortmund2025-10-31
Why the model leans Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund rate higher on our strength scale (1538 vs 1487).
- Borussia Dortmund won 3 of their last 5.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Augsburg 0, Borussia Dortmund 2, draws 0.
- League table: Augsburg #12, Borussia Dortmund #2.
Match preview
Augsburg host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 17 April 2027. Augsburg sit 12th on 8 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 15. Augsburg have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDL), while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of 5 (DWWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Augsburg won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 2 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Augsburg 27%, the draw 23% and Borussia Dortmund 50%, so Borussia Dortmund are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
