Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⇄Rodrigo Mendozaon46'
- 50'Santiago Mouriñoyellow card
- Álex Baenayellow card54'
- ⚽Marc Pubillassist Giuliano Simeone59'
- 60'⇄Alberto Moleiroon
- 61'⇄Ayoze Pérezon
- ⇄Kokeon66'
- ⇄Kang-in Leeon66'
- ⇄Marc Pubillon66'
- 66'⚽Gerard Morenopenalty
- Morten Hjulmandyellow card76'
- Robin Le Normandred card76'
- 78'⚽Georges Mikautadzepenalty
- ⇄Ademola Lookmanon79'
- 79'⇄Nicolas Pépéon
- 79'⇄Georges Mikautadzeon
- 85'⇄Santi Comesañaon
- ⚽Giuliano Simeoneassist Álex Baena85'
- José María Giménezyellow card90'
- 90'Juan Marcos Foythyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 52%Possession48%
- 0.71Expected goals (xG)3.60
- 19Shots13
- 4Shots on target6
- 5Corners3
- 12Fouls13
- 3Yellow cards2
- 1Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 4Saves2
- 520Passes498
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 13Jan Oblak
- 6Koke
- 22Álex Grimaldo
- 11Ademola Lookman
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 7Kang-in Lee
- 23Morten Hjulmand
- 18Marc Pubill
- 20Giuliano Simeone
- 4Rodrigo Mendoza
Villarreal
- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 8Juan Marcos Foyth
- 19Nicolas Pépé
- 18Pape Gueye
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 1Luiz Júnior
- 12Renato Veiga
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 15Santiago Mouriño
- 9Georges Mikautadze
- 20Carlos Romero
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Atlético MadridWLWWL
VillarrealWDLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 10 | 0 | 11 |
Head to head
- Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid2026-05-24
- Atlético Madrid 2–0 Villarreal2025-09-13
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Villarreal in the La Liga on 23 August 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 2nd on 25 points and Villarreal are 11th on 11. Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWL), while Villarreal have won 2 of 5 (WDLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1, Villarreal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
