Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal: Prediction
📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Pablo Barriosassist Julián Álvarez9'
- 24'Daniel Parejoyellow card
- Julián Álvarezyellow card32'
- ⇄Julián Álvarezon46'
- ⚽Nicolás Gonzálezassist Marcos Llorente52'
- 64'⇄Nicolas Pépéon
- 64'⇄Alberto Moleiroon
- 64'⇄Thomas Parteyon
- 65'Renato Veigayellow card
- Matteo Ruggeriyellow card73'
- ⇄Matteo Ruggerion76'
- ⇄Nicolás Gonzálezon76'
- ⇄Robin Le Normandon77'
- 79'⇄Sergi Cardonaon
- 79'⇄Georges Mikautadzeon
- ⇄Dávid Hanckoon83'
- 84'Santiago Mouriñoyellow card
- 90'Alfonso Pedrazayellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 8Shots8
- 3Shots on target1
- 8Corners3
- 12Fouls15
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 1Saves1
- 626Passes396
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 15Clément Lenglet
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 3Matteo Ruggeri
- 23Nicolás González
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Villarreal
- 10Daniel Parejo
- 16Thomas Partey
- 8Juan Marcos Foyth
- 19Nicolas Pépé
- 17Tajon Buchanan
- 1Luiz Júnior
- 12Renato Veiga
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 20Alberto Moleiro
- 15Santiago Mouriño
- 9Georges Mikautadze
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Atlético MadridLD
VillarrealWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal | 35 | +23 | 66 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 2–2 Villarreal2026-08-23
- Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid2026-05-24
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Villarreal in the La Liga on 13 September 2025. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Atlético Madrid have won 0 of their last 2 (LD), while Villarreal have won 1 of 2 (WD). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 0, Villarreal won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
