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FTMatchday 16

Atlético Madrid vs Valencia: Prediction

📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Atlético MadridValencia
  1. Koke17'
  2. Marc Pubillyellow card32'
  3. Alexander Sørlothyellow card42'
  4. Nahuel Molinaon46'
  5. 55'Diego Lópezon
  6. Nicolás Gonzálezon59'
  7. Julián Álvarezon59'
  8. Pablo Barrioson59'
  9. 63'Lucas Beltránassist André Almeida
  10. 71'Eray Cömerton
  11. 72'Filip Ugrinicon
  12. Antoine Griezmannassist Marc Pubill74'
  13. 82'Jesús Vázquezon
  14. 82'Pepeluon
  15. 88'Hugo Duroyellow card
  16. Thiago Almadayellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Atlético MadridValencia
  • 46%Possession54%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 10Shots13
  • 6Shots on target2
  • 5Corners7
  • 13Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 1Saves4
  • 444Passes514

Line-ups

Atlético Madrid

  • 13Jan Oblak
  • 6Koke
  • 17Dávid Hancko
  • 9Alexander Sørloth
  • 16Nahuel Molina
  • 3Matteo Ruggeri
  • 23Nicolás González
  • 19Julián Álvarez
  • 18Marc Pubill
  • 8Pablo Barrios
  • 20Giuliano Simeone

Valencia

  • 20Dimitri Foulquier
  • 12Thierry Correia
  • 23Filip Ugrinic
  • 9Hugo Duro
  • 24Eray Cömert
  • 18Pepelu
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala
  • 21Jesús Vázquez
  • 16Diego López
  • 3José Copete
  • 10André Almeida

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1467

Recent form

Atlético MadridWWWLL
ValenciaLLDDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid35+1662
2Valencia35-1043

Head to head

  • Valencia 0–2 Atlético Madrid2026-05-02

Match preview

Atlético Madrid host Valencia in the La Liga on 13 December 2025. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLL), while Valencia have won 0 of 5 (LLDDD). In their last 1 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1, Valencia won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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