Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 11

Atlético Madrid vs Sevilla: Prediction

📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Atlético MadridSevilla
  1. 46'César Azpilicuetaon
  2. 46'Batista Mendyon
  3. 54'Isaac Romeroyellow card
  4. 63'Tanguy Nianzouyellow card
  5. Julián Álvarezpenalty64'
  6. Alexander Sørlothon68'
  7. Nicolás Gonzálezon69'
  8. 72'Juanluon
  9. Álex Baenaon74'
  10. 77'Odisseas Vlachodimosyellow card
  11. Thiago Almadaassist Giuliano Simeone77'
  12. 79'Isaac Romeroon
  13. 79'Pequeon
  14. Julián Álvarezon86'
  15. Giuliano Simeoneon86'
  16. Antoine Griezmannassist Thiago Almada90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Atlético MadridSevilla
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)0
  • 15Shots10
  • 6Shots on target2
  • 9Corners4
  • 9Fouls12
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 2Saves3
  • 462Passes525

Line-ups

Atlético Madrid

  • 14Marcos Llorente
  • 13Jan Oblak
  • 2José María Giménez
  • 6Koke
  • 17Dávid Hancko
  • 9Alexander Sørloth
  • 3Matteo Ruggeri
  • 23Nicolás González
  • 10Álex Baena
  • 19Julián Álvarez
  • 20Giuliano Simeone

Sevilla

  • 3César Azpilicueta
  • 1Odisseas Vlachodimos
  • 11Ruben Vargas
  • 20Djibril Sow
  • 19Batista Mendy
  • 23Marcão
  • 16Juanlu
  • 12Gabriel Suazo
  • 2José Ángel Carmona
  • 7Isaac Romero
  • 14Peque

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1468

Recent form

Atlético MadridWDWLW
SevillaLWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid35+1662
2Sevilla35-1242

Head to head

  • Sevilla 1–3 Atlético Madrid2026-08-29
  • Sevilla 2–1 Atlético Madrid2026-04-11

Match preview

Atlético Madrid host Sevilla in the La Liga on 1 November 2025. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Sevilla are 11th on 42. Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWLW), while Sevilla have won 2 of 5 (LWWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1, Sevilla won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming