Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- ⚽Alexander Sørlothassist José María Giménez5'
- 9'⚽Carlos Solerassist Luka Sučić
- Dávid Hanckoyellow card20'
- ⇄Rodrigo Mendozaon46'
- 49'Orri Óskarssonyellow card
- ⇄Ademola Lookmanon53'
- ⇄Giuliano Simeoneon53'
- ⇄Thiago Almadaon54'
- 55'⇄Pablo Marínon
- 56'⇄Orri Óskarssonon
- ⇄Kokeon61'
- 65'⇄Ander Barrenetxeaon
- ⚽Nicolás Gonzálezassist Antoine Griezmann67'
- 68'⚽Mikel Oyarzabal
- 74'⇄Luka Sučićon
- 74'⇄Carlos Soleron
- ⚽Nicolás Gonzálezassist Matteo Ruggeri81'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 52%Possession48%
- 2.29Expected goals (xG)0.41
- 24Shots7
- 9Shots on target3
- 8Corners1
- 6Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 1Saves5
- 483Passes462
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 13Jan Oblak
- 2José María Giménez
- 6Koke
- 22Ademola Lookman
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 9Alexander Sørloth
- 16Nahuel Molina
- 3Matteo Ruggeri
- 11Thiago Almada
- 20Giuliano Simeone
- 4Rodrigo Mendoza
Real Sociedad
- 1Álex Remiro
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 18Carlos Soler
- 12Yangel Herrera
- 7Ander Barrenetxea
- 16Duje Ćaleta-Car
- 24Luka Sučić
- 15Pablo Marín
- 9Orri Óskarsson
- 2Jon Aramburu
- 31Jon Martín
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Atlético MadridWDLLW
Real SociedadWDWLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 35 | -5 | 39 |
Head to head
- Real Sociedad 0–3 Atlético Madrid2026-09-13
- Real Sociedad 1–1 Atlético Madrid2026-01-04
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 7 March 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Real Sociedad are 18th on 39. Atlético Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLLW), while Real Sociedad have won 2 of 5 (WDWLD). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1, Real Sociedad won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
