Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: Prediction
Atlético Madrid2
Real Madrid1Not enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Atlético MadridWLLWWReal MadridWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 3–2 Atlético Madrid2026-03-22
- Atlético Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid2025-09-27
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 20 September 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 2nd on 25 points and Real Madrid are 3rd on 21. Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (WLLWW), while Real Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
