Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
7 goals- ⚽Robin Le Normandassist Giuliano Simeone14'
- Alexander Sørlothyellow card22'
- 25'⚽Kylian Mbappéassist Arda Güler
- 36'⚽Arda Gülerassist Vinícius Júnior
- Nicolás Gonzálezyellow card40'
- ⚽Alexander Sørlothassist Koke45'
- 46'⇄Éder Militãoon
- 50'Arda Güleryellow card
- ⚽Julián Álvarezpenalty51'
- Clément Lengletyellow card56'
- 58'Raúl Asencioyellow card
- 59'⇄Arda Güleron
- 59'⇄Daniel Carvajalon
- 62'Álvaro Carrerasyellow card
- ⚽Julián Álvarez63'
- ⇄Alexander Sørlothon67'
- 70'⇄Jude Bellinghamon
- Giuliano Simeoneyellow card82'
- ⇄Nicolás Gonzálezon83'
- ⇄Dávid Hanckoon83'
- 89'⇄Dean Huijsenon
- ⚽Antoine Griezmannassist Álex Baena90'
- Conor Gallagheryellow card90'
- 90'Franco Mastantuonoyellow card
- ⇄Giuliano Simeoneon90'
- ⇄Julián Álvarezon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 37%Possession63%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 13Shots6
- 7Shots on target2
- 7Corners2
- 17Fouls14
- 5Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 0Saves2
- 308Passes538
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 6Koke
- 15Clément Lenglet
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 9Alexander Sørloth
- 23Nicolás González
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 2Daniel Carvajal
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 3Éder Militão
- 8Federico Valverde
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 5Jude Bellingham
- 15Arda Güler
- 18Álvaro Carreras
- 24Dean Huijsen
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Atlético MadridDWLDW
Real MadridWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid2026-09-20
- Real Madrid 3–2 Atlético Madrid2026-03-22
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 27 September 2025. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Atlético Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLDW), while Real Madrid have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
