Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- ⚽Julián Álvarezassist Marcos Llorente15'
- 45'⚽Pep Chavarríaassist Unai Lopez
- Kokeyellow card50'
- 54'Iván Balliuyellow card
- ⇄Kokeon56'
- ⇄Nahuel Molinaon56'
- 66'⇄Óscar Valentínon
- 66'⇄Alemãoon
- 66'⇄Fran Pérezon
- ⇄Javi Galánon73'
- 77'⚽Alvaro Garciaassist Isi Palazón
- ⇄Antoine Griezmannon79'
- ⇄Conor Gallagheron79'
- 79'⇄Unai Lopezon
- ⚽Julián Álvarez80'
- 85'⇄Isi Palazónon
- Marcos Llorenteyellow card86'
- 87'Pep Chavarríayellow card
- ⚽Julián Álvarezassist Giuliano Simeone88'
- Robin Le Normandyellow card90'
- 90'Andrei Rațiuyellow card
- 90'Pathé Cissyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 4Expected goals (xG)2
- 20Shots9
- 8Shots on target3
- 8Corners6
- 6Fouls12
- 3Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides2
- 1Saves5
- 579Passes370
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 21Javi Galán
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 16Nahuel Molina
- 4Conor Gallagher
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 8Pablo Barrios
Rayo Vallecano
- 17Unai Lopez
- 24Florian Lejeune
- 2Andrei Rațiu
- 7Isi Palazón
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 20Iván Balliu
- 21Fran Pérez
- 9Alemão
- 13Augusto Batalla
- 33Jozhua Vertrouwd
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Atlético MadridLDWLD
Rayo VallecanoWDLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | -2 | 48 |
Head to head
- Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atlético Madrid2026-02-15
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 24 September 2025. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Atlético Madrid have won 1 of their last 5 (LDWLD), while Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of 4 (WDLD). In their last 1 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
