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FTMatchday 6

Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna: Prediction

Atlético Madrid4
FT
Osasuna0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Atlético MadridOsasuna
  1. Jonathan David24'
  2. Ademola Lookmanyellow card50'
  3. Kang-in Leeassist Jonathan David54'
  4. 59'Jonathan Dubasinon
  5. 59'Raul Moroon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1431

Recent form

Atlético MadridDWLLW
OsasunaLDWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid10+1225
2Osasuna9-118

Head to head

  • Osasuna 1–2 Atlético Madrid2026-05-12
  • Atlético Madrid 1–0 Osasuna2025-10-18

Match preview

Atlético Madrid host Osasuna in the La Liga on 16 September 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 2nd on 25 points and Osasuna are 18th on 8. Atlético Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLLW), while Osasuna have won 1 of 5 (LDWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 2, Osasuna won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming