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FTMatchday 9

Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna: Prediction

📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Atlético MadridOsasuna
  1. Kokeyellow card30'
  2. 41'Valentin Rosieron
  3. Nicolás Gonzálezon43'
  4. Kokeon54'
  5. Antoine Griezmannon55'
  6. Álex Baenaon63'
  7. 63'Ruben Garciaon
  8. 66'Alejandro Catenayellow card
  9. Thiago Almadaassist Giuliano Simeone69'
  10. 74'Jorge Herrandoon
  11. 74'Lucas Torróon
  12. 81'Raúl Garcíayellow card
  13. Julián Álvarezon82'
  14. 85'Jon Moncayolaon
  15. 85'Víctor Muñozon
  16. 90'Enzo Boyomoyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Atlético MadridOsasuna
  • 59%Possession41%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 18Shots9
  • 9Shots on target2
  • 4Corners2
  • 10Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Offsides1
  • 2Saves8
  • 529Passes366

Line-ups

Atlético Madrid

  • 14Marcos Llorente
  • 13Jan Oblak
  • 2José María Giménez
  • 6Koke
  • 7Antoine Griezmann
  • 17Dávid Hancko
  • 24Robin Le Normand
  • 23Nicolás González
  • 10Álex Baena
  • 19Julián Álvarez
  • 8Pablo Barrios

Osasuna

  • 6Lucas Torró
  • 14Ruben Garcia
  • 17Ante Budimir
  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 7Jon Moncayola
  • 24Alejandro Catena
  • 19Valentin Rosier
  • 5Jorge Herrando
  • 22Enzo Boyomo
  • 23Abel Bretones
  • 21Víctor Muñoz

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1425

Recent form

Atlético MadridDWWWD
OsasunaWLDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid35+1662
2Osasuna35-439

Head to head

  • Atlético Madrid 4–0 Osasuna2026-09-16
  • Osasuna 1–2 Atlético Madrid2026-05-12

Match preview

Atlético Madrid host Osasuna in the La Liga on 18 October 2025. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Osasuna are 17th on 39. Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWWD), while Osasuna have won 2 of 5 (WLDLW). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 2, Osasuna won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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