Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Kokeyellow card30'
- 41'⇄Valentin Rosieron
- ⇄Nicolás Gonzálezon43'
- ⇄Kokeon54'
- ⇄Antoine Griezmannon55'
- ⇄Álex Baenaon63'
- 63'⇄Ruben Garciaon
- 66'Alejandro Catenayellow card
- ⚽Thiago Almadaassist Giuliano Simeone69'
- 74'⇄Jorge Herrandoon
- 74'⇄Lucas Torróon
- 81'Raúl Garcíayellow card
- ⇄Julián Álvarezon82'
- 85'⇄Jon Moncayolaon
- 85'⇄Víctor Muñozon
- 90'Enzo Boyomoyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 59%Possession41%
- 3Expected goals (xG)1
- 18Shots9
- 9Shots on target2
- 4Corners2
- 10Fouls11
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 6Offsides1
- 2Saves8
- 529Passes366
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 2José María Giménez
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 23Nicolás González
- 10Álex Baena
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 8Pablo Barrios
Osasuna
- 6Lucas Torró
- 14Ruben Garcia
- 17Ante Budimir
- 1Sergio Herrera
- 7Jon Moncayola
- 24Alejandro Catena
- 19Valentin Rosier
- 5Jorge Herrando
- 22Enzo Boyomo
- 23Abel Bretones
- 21Víctor Muñoz
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +16 | 62 | |
| 2 | 35 | -4 | 39 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 4–0 Osasuna2026-09-16
- Osasuna 1–2 Atlético Madrid2026-05-12
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Osasuna in the La Liga on 18 October 2025. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Osasuna are 17th on 39. Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWWD), while Osasuna have won 2 of 5 (WLDLW). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 2, Osasuna won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

