Atlético Madrid vs Mallorca: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Alexander Sørloth22'
- José María Giménezyellow card55'
- ⇄Álex Baenaon59'
- Nicolás Gonzálezyellow card62'
- 63'⇄Antonio Sánchezon
- 63'⇄Mateo Josephon
- ⇄Alexander Sørlothon72'
- ⇄Johnny Cardosoon73'
- 74'⇄Pablo Maffeoon
- 74'⇄Sergi Darderon
- ⚽David Lópezown goal75'
- ⇄Giuliano Simeoneon79'
- 86'David Lópezyellow card
- ⚽Thiago Almada87'
- 88'⇄Samú Costaon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 1.48Expected goals (xG)0.46
- 17Shots6
- 8Shots on target1
- 10Corners3
- 10Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 1Saves7
- 562Passes357
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 2José María Giménez
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 9Alexander Sørloth
- 10Álex Baena
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 5Johnny Cardoso
- 18Marc Pubill
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Mallorca
- 5Omar Mascarell
- 22Johan Mojica
- 23Pablo Maffeo
- 24Martin Valjent
- 7Vedat Muriqi
- 12Samú Costa
- 10Sergi Darder
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 1Leo Román
- 18Mateo Joseph
- 27David López
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +16 | 62 | |
| 2 | 35 | -8 | 41 |
Head to head
- Mallorca 1–1 Atlético Madrid2025-09-21
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Mallorca in the La Liga on 25 January 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Mallorca are 12th on 41. Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWDW), while Mallorca have won 2 of 5 (WDLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 0, Mallorca won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

