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FTMatchday 25

Atlético Madrid vs Espanyol: Prediction

📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
Atlético MadridEspanyol
  1. 6'Jofre Carreras
  2. Alexander Sørlothassist Marcos Llorente21'
  3. Giuliano Simeoneassist Álex Baena49'
  4. 57'Clemens Riedelon
  5. Ademola Lookmanassist Matteo Ruggeri58'
  6. Álex Baenaon61'
  7. Ademola Lookmanon61'
  8. 70'Pol Lozanoon
  9. 70'Kike Garciaon
  10. 70'Tyrhys Dolanon
  11. Alexander Sørlothassist Matteo Ruggeri72'
  12. Marcos Llorenteon74'
  13. Antoine Griezmannon74'
  14. 77'Jofre Carrerason
  15. 80'Edu Expósito
  16. 83'Cyril Ngongeyellow card
  17. Giuliano Simeoneon84'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Atlético MadridEspanyol
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 3.15Expected goals (xG)1.06
  • 18Shots8
  • 9Shots on target2
  • 5Corners3
  • 8Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 0Saves4
  • 661Passes410

Line-ups

Atlético Madrid

  • 14Marcos Llorente
  • 13Jan Oblak
  • 7Antoine Griezmann
  • 22Ademola Lookman
  • 17Dávid Hancko
  • 9Alexander Sørloth
  • 3Matteo Ruggeri
  • 10Álex Baena
  • 5Johnny Cardoso
  • 18Marc Pubill
  • 20Giuliano Simeone

Espanyol

  • 19Kike Garcia
  • 6Leandro Cabrera
  • 5Fernando Calero
  • 13Marko Dmitrović
  • 10Pol Lozano
  • 24Tyrhys Dolan
  • 4Urko González de Zárate
  • 38Clemens Riedel
  • 23Omar El Hilali
  • 22Carlos Romero
  • 17Jofre Carreras

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1438

Recent form

Atlético MadridWWDLL
EspanyolLLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid35+1662
2Espanyol35-1341

Head to head

  • Espanyol 0–1 Atlético Madrid2026-10-17
  • Espanyol 2–1 Atlético Madrid2025-08-17

Match preview

Atlético Madrid host Espanyol in the La Liga on 21 February 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Espanyol are 14th on 41. Atlético Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDLL), while Espanyol have won 0 of 5 (LLLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1, Espanyol won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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