Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 6'Pablo Ibáñezyellow card
- Johnny Cardosoyellow card27'
- ⚽Alexander Sørlothassist Pablo Barrios48'
- 54'⇄Jon Guridion
- 55'⇄Pablo Ibáñezon
- 55'⇄Toni Martínezon
- ⇄Julián Álvarezon62'
- ⇄Giuliano Simeoneon62'
- ⇄Thiago Almadaon62'
- 69'⇄Carles Aleñáon
- ⇄Johnny Cardosoon78'
- 81'⇄Antonio Blancoon
- ⇄Alexander Sørlothon86'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 54%Possession46%
- 1.63Expected goals (xG)0.82
- 23Shots8
- 6Shots on target0
- 6Corners6
- 13Fouls5
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 0Saves4
- 553Passes460
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 9Alexander Sørloth
- 3Matteo Ruggeri
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 5Johnny Cardoso
- 18Marc Pubill
- 11Thiago Almada
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Deportivo Alavés
- 11Toni Martínez
- 18Jon Guridi
- 10Carles Aleñá
- 1Antonio Sivera
- 17Jonathan Otto
- 8Antonio Blanco
- 5Jon Pacheco
- 14Nahuel Tenaglia
- 19Pablo Ibáñez
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 24Víctor Parada
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Atlético MadridLLWWD
Deportivo AlavésWLLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 35 | -8 | 43 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Atlético Madrid2026-10-10
- Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Atlético Madrid2025-08-30
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 18 January 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Atlético Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWD), while Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of 5 (WLLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1, Deportivo Alavés won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
