FTMatchday 35

Atlético Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Prediction

📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atlético Madrid0

Celta Vigo1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Atlético MadridCelta Vigo

19'Ilaix Moribayellow card
José María Giménezon20'
Ademola Lookmanon60'
Antoine Griezmannon61'
62'Borja Iglesiasassist Williot Swedberg
Álex Baenayellow card66'
68'Pablo Duránon
68'Borja Iglesiason
68'Álvaro Núñezon
Álex Baenaon69'
Álex Baenaon69'
77'Fer Lópezyellow card
77'Williot Swedbergon
89'Óscar Minguezaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Atlético MadridCelta Vigo

56%Possession44%
2.04Expected goals (xG)0.13
21Shots3
4Shots on target1
10Corners0
11Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Offsides5
0Saves4
560Passes468

Line-ups

Atlético Madrid

14Marcos Llorente
13Jan Oblak
2José María Giménez
6Koke
7Antoine Griezmann
22Ademola Lookman
17Dávid Hancko
9Alexander Sørloth
3Matteo Ruggeri
10Álex Baena
18Marc Pubill

Celta Vigo

20Marcos Alonso
7Borja Iglesias
13Ionuț Radu
3Óscar Mingueza
6Ilaix Moriba
19Williot Swedberg
29Yoel Lago
32Javi Rodríguez
18Pablo Durán
8Fer López
14Álvaro Núñez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1492

Recent form

Atlético MadridLLLWW

Celta VigoWLLLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Atlético Madrid	35	+16	62
2	Celta Vigo	35	+3	47

Head to head

Celta Vigo 1–1 Atlético Madrid2025-10-05

Match preview

Atlético Madrid host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 9 May 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Atlético Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (LLLWW), while Celta Vigo have won 2 of 5 (WLLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 0, Celta Vigo won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.