FTMatchday 30

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona: Prediction

Atlético Madrid1

Barcelona2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Atlético MadridBarcelona

Nicolás Gonzálezyellow card22'
Giuliano Simeoneassist Clément Lenglet39'
40'Ronald Araújoon
42'Marcus Rashfordassist Dani Olmo
Kokeyellow card45'
Nahuel Molinayellow card45'
Nicolás Gonzálezred card45'
45'Fermín Lópezyellow card
Kokeon46'
46'Fermín Lópezon
Juan Mussoyellow card50'
50'Gerard Martínyellow card
Clément Lengletyellow card53'
Giuliano Simeoneon61'
Álex Baenaon61'
Antoine Griezmannon61'
62'Antoine Griezmannon
Clément Lengleton68'
78'Eric Garcíaon
79'Marcus Rashfordon
87'Robert Lewandowski

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Atlético MadridBarcelona

33%Possession67%
0.92Expected goals (xG)2.22
6Shots22
2Shots on target8
1Corners9
15Fouls11
6Yellow cards2
1Red cards1
4Offsides3
6Saves1
307Passes630

Line-ups

Atlético Madrid

6Koke
7Antoine Griezmann
15Clément Lenglet
1Juan Musso
24Robin Le Normand
16Nahuel Molina
23Nicolás González
10Álex Baena
21Obed Vargas
11Thiago Almada
20Giuliano Simeone

Barcelona

2João Cancelo
14Marcus Rashford
20Dani Olmo
24Eric García
8Pedri
4Ronald Araújo
13Joan García
10Lamine Yamal
18Gerard Martín
16Fermín López
5Pau Cubarsí

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1540

Recent form

Atlético MadridLWWWL

BarcelonaLWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	35	+51	85
2	Atlético Madrid	35	+16	62

Head to head

Barcelona 3–1 Atlético Madrid2025-12-02

Match preview

Atlético Madrid host Barcelona in the La Liga on 4 April 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Barcelona are 1st on 85. Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWL), while Barcelona have won 4 of 5 (LWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 0, Barcelona won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.