Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- 23'⚽Aitor Paredesassist Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
- ⚽Antoine Griezmann49'
- ⚽Alexander Sørlothassist Álex Baena54'
- ⇄Pablo Barrioson58'
- ⇄Marcos Llorenteon63'
- ⇄Antoine Griezmannon63'
- 64'⇄Yuri Berchicheon
- 64'⇄Unai Gómezon
- 70'⇄Nico Williamson
- 70'⇄Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon
- 70'⇄Iñaki Williamson
- ⇄Kokeon72'
- ⇄Giuliano Simeoneon72'
- ⚽Alexander Sørlothassist Nahuel Molina90'
- 90'⚽Gorka Guruzetaassist Alejandro Rego
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 54%Possession46%
- 1.91Expected goals (xG)0.47
- 6Shots11
- 4Shots on target3
- 3Corners4
- 8Fouls12
- 0Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 2Saves1
- 552Passes456
Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 15Clément Lenglet
- 9Alexander Sørloth
- 3Matteo Ruggeri
- 10Álex Baena
- 18Marc Pubill
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Athletic Bilbao
- 9Iñaki Williams
- 17Yuri Berchiche
- 1Unai Simón
- 11Gorka Guruzeta
- 2Andoni Gorosabel
- 3Dani Vivian
- 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
- 10Nico Williams
- 4Aitor Paredes
- 20Unai Gómez
- 30Alejandro Rego
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Atlético MadridWLLLL
Athletic BilbaoLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | -12 | 41 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 3–0 Atlético Madrid2026-09-05
- Athletic Bilbao 1–0 Atlético Madrid2025-12-06
Match preview
Atlético Madrid host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 25 April 2026. Atlético Madrid sit 4th on 62 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Atlético Madrid have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLLL), while Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of 5 (LWLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
