Kick-off · Sun, 10 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 19
Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal: Prediction
Athletic Bilbao39%Home win
Villarreal39% Home win26% Draw35% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.34 – 1.26
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1468
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoDDDLWVillarrealWDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 10 | 0 | 11 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Villarreal2026-04-12
- Villarreal 1–0 Athletic Bilbao2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
