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FTMatchday 31

Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal: Prediction

📍 San Mamés Barria

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Athletic BilbaoVillarreal
  1. 20'Pau Navarroyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Athletic BilbaoVillarreal
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 0.12Expected goals (xG)0.27
  • 4Shots6
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 5Corners2
  • 7Fouls5
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 2Saves2
  • 242Passes186

Line-ups

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 15Iñigo Lekue
  • 10Nico Williams
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Villarreal

  • 7Gerard Moreno
  • 17Tajon Buchanan
  • 18Pape Gueye
  • 11Alfon
  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 1Luiz Júnior
  • 21Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyi
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 23Sergi Cardona
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 6Pau Navarro

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1450

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoWLLWL
VillarrealWWDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal35+2366
2Athletic Bilbao35-1241

Head to head

  • Villarreal 1–0 Athletic Bilbao2025-09-27

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Villarreal in the La Liga on 12 April 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLWL), while Villarreal have won 3 of 5 (WWDWL). In their last 1 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 0, Villarreal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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