Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia: Prediction
📍 San Mamés Barria
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Aymeric Laporteyellow card15'
- ⇄Nico Williamson36'
- ⇄Aymeric Laporteon46'
- 50'Eray Cömertyellow card
- Alejandro Regoyellow card55'
- 59'Pepeluyellow card
- ⇄Oihan Sanceton65'
- ⇄Robert Navarroon70'
- 70'⇄Hugo Duroon
- 70'⇄Pepeluon
- 70'⇄Diego Lópezon
- ⇄Alejandro Regoon71'
- 72'⚽Umar Sadiqassist Luis Rioja
- 83'⇄Javi Guerraon
- 88'Umar Sadiqyellow card
- 90'⇄Renzo Saraviaon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 55%Possession45%
- 1.01Expected goals (xG)1.14
- 15Shots7
- 4Shots on target3
- 13Corners5
- 9Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides2
- 2Saves4
- 405Passes354
Line-ups
Athletic Bilbao
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 17Yuri Berchiche
- 5Yeray
- 1Unai Simón
- 11Gorka Guruzeta
- 8Oihan Sancet
- 2Andoni Gorosabel
- 10Nico Williams
- 23Robert Navarro
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
- 30Alejandro Rego
Valencia
- 1Stole Dimitrievski
- 14Jose Luis Gaya
- 11Luis Rioja
- 2Guido Rodríguez
- 9Hugo Duro
- 24Eray Cömert
- 18Pepelu
- 16Diego López
- 20Renzo Saravia
- 8Javi Guerra
- 5César Tárrega Requeni
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoLLWLW
ValenciaLLDWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valencia | 35 | -10 | 43 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | -12 | 41 |
Head to head
- Valencia 0–0 Athletic Bilbao2026-10-17
- Valencia 2–0 Athletic Bilbao2025-09-20
Match preview
Athletic Bilbao host Valencia in the La Liga on 10 May 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWLW), while Valencia have won 1 of 5 (LLDWL). In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 0, Valencia won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
