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FTMatchday 1

Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla: Prediction

📍 San Mamés Barria

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Athletic BilbaoSevilla
  1. Nico Williamspenalty36'
  2. 37'Lucien Agouméyellow card
  3. Maroan Sannadi43'
  4. 46'Stanis Idumbo Muzamboon
  5. 60'Dodi Lukebakioassist Juanlu
  6. Álex Berengueron67'
  7. Maroan Sannadion67'
  8. 72'Lucien Agouméassist Akor Adams
  9. Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon78'
  10. Robert Navarroassist Nico Williams81'
  11. 82'Nemanja Gudeljon
  12. Jesús Aresoon83'
  13. Nico Williamson83'
  14. 87'Djibril Sowon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Athletic BilbaoSevilla
  • 46%Possession54%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 14Shots12
  • 3Shots on target6
  • 10Corners1
  • 8Fouls12
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides8
  • 4Saves0
  • 385Passes474

Line-ups

Athletic Bilbao

  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 7Álex Berenguer
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 10Nico Williams
  • 4Aitor Paredes
  • 12Jesús Areso
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar
  • 21Maroan Sannadi

Sevilla

  • 13Ørjan Nyland
  • 20Djibril Sow
  • 10Dodi Lukebakio
  • 18Lucien Agoumé
  • 6Nemanja Gudelj
  • 16Juanlu
  • 2José Ángel Carmona
  • 4Kike Salas
  • 9Akor Adams
  • 27Stanis Idumbo Muzambo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1468

Recent form

Athletic Bilbao–
Sevilla–
#TeamPGDPts
1Sevilla35-1242
2Athletic Bilbao35-1241

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 1–3 Sevilla2026-08-22
  • Sevilla 2–1 Athletic Bilbao2026-01-24

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Sevilla in the La Liga on 17 August 2025. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Sevilla are 11th on 42. In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 0, Sevilla won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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