Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: Prediction
📍 San Mamés Barria
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 23'Igor Zubeldiayellow card
- 37'⚽Goncalo Guedesassist Sergio Gómez
- ⇄Alejandro Regoon46'
- 51'Jon Martínyellow card
- Yuri Berchicheyellow card56'
- ⇄Unai Gómezon62'
- 63'⇄Jon Gorrotxategion
- 63'⇄Luka Sučićon
- Jesús Aresoyellow card69'
- ⇄Nico Williamson72'
- ⇄Álex Berengueron72'
- Urko Izetayellow card75'
- 77'⇄Mikel Oyarzabalon
- 77'⇄Goncalo Guedeson
- ⇄Jesús Aresoon79'
- 83'Brais Méndezred card
- Aitor Paredesyellow card84'
- 85'⇄Pablo Marínon
- ⚽Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaassist Yuri Berchiche88'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 55%Possession45%
- 1.23Expected goals (xG)1.83
- 19Shots8
- 4Shots on target6
- 6Corners3
- 14Fouls14
- 4Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 3Offsides5
- 4Saves3
- 421Passes360
Line-ups
Athletic Bilbao
- 17Yuri Berchiche
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 1Unai Simón
- 11Gorka Guruzeta
- 10Nico Williams
- 4Aitor Paredes
- 12Jesús Areso
- 20Unai Gómez
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
- 19Adama Boiro
- 30Alejandro Rego
Real Sociedad
- 11Goncalo Guedes
- 5Igor Zubeldia
- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 1Álex Remiro
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 18Carlos Soler
- 24Luka Sučić
- 15Pablo Marín
- 2Jon Aramburu
- 31Jon Martín
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoLLDLL
Real SociedadDDWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | -12 | 41 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 35 | -5 | 39 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Real Sociedad2026-11-01
- Real Sociedad 3–2 Athletic Bilbao2025-11-01
Match preview
Athletic Bilbao host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 1 February 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Real Sociedad are 18th on 39. Athletic Bilbao have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLL), while Real Sociedad have won 3 of 5 (DDWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 1, Real Sociedad won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
