FTMatchday 12

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Oviedo: Prediction

📍 San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao1

Real Oviedo0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Athletic BilbaoReal Oviedo

Nico Williamsassist Aymeric Laporte25'
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretayellow card47'
53'Ilyas Chairaon
57'Aarón Escandellyellow card
Nico Williamson72'
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon72'
72'Alberto Reinaon
72'Salomón Rondónon
Gorka Guruzetaon84'
Álex Berengueron84'
85'Leander Dendonckeron
85'Santiago Colombattoon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Athletic BilbaoReal Oviedo

48%Possession52%
2Expected goals (xG)0
21Shots4
7Shots on target2
7Corners4
12Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides4
2Saves7
420Passes470

Line-ups

Athletic Bilbao

14Aymeric Laporte
17Yuri Berchiche
7Álex Berenguer
1Unai Simón
11Gorka Guruzeta
2Andoni Gorosabel
3Dani Vivian
16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
10Nico Williams
18Mikel Jauregizar

Real Oviedo

23Salomón Rondón
4David Costas
20Leander Dendoncker
22Nacho Vidal
25Javi López
11Santiago Colombatto
13Aarón Escandell
16David Carmo
9Federico Viñas
7Ilyas Chaira
5Alberto Reina

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1427

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoDWLLL

Real OviedoWLLDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Bilbao	35	-12	41
2	Real Oviedo	35	-30	28

Head to head

Real Oviedo 1–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-02-15

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Real Oviedo in the La Liga on 9 November 2025. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Real Oviedo are 20th on 28. Athletic Bilbao have won 1 of their last 5 (DWLLL), while Real Oviedo have won 1 of 5 (WLLDD). In their last 1 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 1, Real Oviedo won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.