Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: Prediction
📍 San Mamés Barria
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 7'⚽Kylian Mbappéassist Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 42'⚽Eduardo Camavingaassist Kylian Mbappé
- ⇄Iñigo Lekueon46'
- ⇄Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon46'
- 55'⇄Trent Alexander-Arnoldon
- 59'⚽Kylian Mbappéassist Álvaro Carreras
- Álex Berengueryellow card66'
- ⇄Mikel Jauregizaron69'
- ⇄Álex Berengueron69'
- 69'⇄Eduardo Camavingaon
- Alejandro Regoyellow card76'
- ⇄Nico Williamson78'
- 78'⇄Kylian Mbappéon
- 78'⇄Éder Militãoon
- 78'⇄Vinícius Júnioron
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 38%Possession62%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 9Shots13
- 4Shots on target8
- 5Corners7
- 15Fouls4
- 2Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 5Saves4
- 375Passes641
Line-ups
Athletic Bilbao
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 1Unai Simón
- 11Gorka Guruzeta
- 3Dani Vivian
- 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
- 15Iñigo Lekue
- 10Nico Williams
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
- 19Adama Boiro
- 30Alejandro Rego
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 22Antonio Rudiger
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 12Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 3Éder Militão
- 8Federico Valverde
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 5Jude Bellingham
- 6Eduardo Camavinga
- 18Álvaro Carreras
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoLLWDW
Real MadridWLDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | -12 | 41 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-05-23
Match preview
Athletic Bilbao host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 3 December 2025. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWDW), while Real Madrid have won 2 of 5 (WLDWD). In their last 1 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 0, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
