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FTMatchday 3

Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabağ: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1496

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoDLLWD
QarabağWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Qarabağ5-17

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Qarabağ in the UEFA Champions League on 22 October 2025. Athletic Bilbao sit 27th on 4 points and Qarabağ are 19th on 7. Athletic Bilbao have won 1 of their last 5 (DLLWD), while Qarabağ have won 2 of 2 (WW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming