Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca: Prediction
📍 San Mamés Barria
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Iñaki Williamspenalty9'
- Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretayellow card36'
- 45'Sergi Darderyellow card
- Aymeric Laporteyellow card49'
- ⇄Iñaki Williamson53'
- ⇄Nico Serranoon62'
- ⇄Gorka Guruzetaon62'
- 66'⇄Pablo Torreon
- 66'⇄Marc Domenechon
- 68'Jagoba Arrasateyellow card
- 75'Vedat Muriqiyellow card
- 77'⚽Samú Costaassist Mateo Joseph
- ⇄Robert Navarroon82'
- ⇄Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon82'
- ⚽Alejandro Regoassist Jesús Areso82'
- 84'⇄Manu Morlaneson
- 88'⇄Johan Mojicaon
- 88'⇄Pablo Maffeoon
- 89'Antonio Raílloyellow card
- Jesús Aresoyellow card90'
- 90'Antonio Sánchezyellow card
- 90'Antonio Sánchezred card
- Dani Vivianyellow card90'
- Mikel Jauregizaryellow card90'
- 90'Leo Rományellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 52%Possession48%
- 2Expected goals (xG)0
- 18Shots6
- 5Shots on target2
- 7Corners2
- 16Fouls13
- 4Yellow cards6
- 0Red cards1
- 0Offsides5
- 1Saves3
- 442Passes416
Line-ups
Athletic Bilbao
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 9Iñaki Williams
- 17Yuri Berchiche
- 1Unai Simón
- 11Gorka Guruzeta
- 3Dani Vivian
- 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
- 23Robert Navarro
- 12Jesús Areso
- 22Nico Serrano
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
Mallorca
- 22Johan Mojica
- 23Pablo Maffeo
- 24Martin Valjent
- 7Vedat Muriqi
- 21Antonio Raíllo
- 12Samú Costa
- 8Manu Morlanes
- 10Sergi Darder
- 20Pablo Torre
- 1Leo Román
- 30Marc Domenech
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -8 | 41 | |
| 2 | 35 | -12 | 41 |
Head to head
- Mallorca 3–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-01-17
Match preview
Athletic Bilbao host Mallorca in the La Liga on 4 October 2025. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Mallorca are 12th on 41. Athletic Bilbao have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLL), while Mallorca have won 1 of 5 (LLDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 0, Mallorca won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

