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FTMatchday 8

Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca: Prediction

📍 San Mamés Barria

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Athletic BilbaoMallorca
  1. Iñaki Williamspenalty9'
  2. Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretayellow card36'
  3. 45'Sergi Darderyellow card
  4. Aymeric Laporteyellow card49'
  5. Iñaki Williamson53'
  6. Nico Serranoon62'
  7. Gorka Guruzetaon62'
  8. 66'Pablo Torreon
  9. 66'Marc Domenechon
  10. 68'Jagoba Arrasateyellow card
  11. 75'Vedat Muriqiyellow card
  12. 77'Samú Costaassist Mateo Joseph
  13. Robert Navarroon82'
  14. Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon82'
  15. Alejandro Regoassist Jesús Areso82'
  16. 84'Manu Morlaneson
  17. 88'Johan Mojicaon
  18. 88'Pablo Maffeoon
  19. 89'Antonio Raílloyellow card
  20. Jesús Aresoyellow card90'
  21. 90'Antonio Sánchezyellow card
  22. 90'Antonio Sánchezred card
  23. Dani Vivianyellow card90'
  24. Mikel Jauregizaryellow card90'
  25. 90'Leo Rományellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Athletic BilbaoMallorca
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)0
  • 18Shots6
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 7Corners2
  • 16Fouls13
  • 4Yellow cards6
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Offsides5
  • 1Saves3
  • 442Passes416

Line-ups

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 23Robert Navarro
  • 12Jesús Areso
  • 22Nico Serrano
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Mallorca

  • 22Johan Mojica
  • 23Pablo Maffeo
  • 24Martin Valjent
  • 7Vedat Muriqi
  • 21Antonio Raíllo
  • 12Samú Costa
  • 8Manu Morlanes
  • 10Sergi Darder
  • 20Pablo Torre
  • 1Leo Román
  • 30Marc Domenech

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1481

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoLLDLL
MallorcaLLDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Mallorca35-841
2Athletic Bilbao35-1241

Head to head

  • Mallorca 3–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-01-17

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Mallorca in the La Liga on 4 October 2025. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Mallorca are 12th on 41. Athletic Bilbao have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLL), while Mallorca have won 1 of 5 (LLDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 0, Mallorca won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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