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FTMatchday 23

Athletic Bilbao vs Levante: Prediction

📍 San Mamés Barria

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
Athletic BilbaoLevante
  1. 17'Alan Matturrored card
  2. Gorka Guruzetaassist Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta29'
  3. Gorka Guruzetaassist Iñaki Williams34'
  4. Yuri Berchicheon39'
  5. 46'Carlos Álvarezon
  6. Gorka Guruzetaon62'
  7. Mikel Jauregizaron63'
  8. 65'Adrián de la Fuenteon
  9. 65'Pablo Martínezon
  10. 65'Iván Romeroon
  11. Aitor Paredesyellow card66'
  12. Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon76'
  13. Nico Williamson76'
  14. 77'Jeremy Toljanyellow card
  15. 81'Ugo Raghouberon
  16. 81'Unai Elgezabal
  17. Nico Serrano86'
  18. Alejandro Regoyellow card89'
  19. Nico Serranoon90'
  20. 90'Nico Serranoon
  21. 90'Jon Ander Olasagasti
  22. Robert Navarroassist Iñaki Williams90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Athletic BilbaoLevante
  • 55%Possession45%
  • 2.08Expected goals (xG)0.51
  • 22Shots6
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 4Corners3
  • 17Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1
  • 3Offsides3
  • 1Saves3
  • 502Passes400

Line-ups

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 2Andoni Gorosabel
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 10Nico Williams
  • 4Aitor Paredes
  • 22Nico Serrano
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Levante

  • 22Jeremy Toljan
  • 13Mathew Ryan
  • 23Manu Sánchez
  • 10Pablo Martínez
  • 9Iván Romero
  • 4Adrián de la Fuente
  • 3Alan Matturro
  • 21Etta Eyong
  • 24Carlos Álvarez
  • 14Ugo Raghouber
  • 26Kareem Tunde

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1470

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoLDLLD
LevanteWDLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao35-1241
2Levante35-1439

Head to head

  • Levante 3–1 Athletic Bilbao2026-10-21
  • Levante 0–2 Athletic Bilbao2025-11-29

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Levante in the La Liga on 8 February 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Levante are 19th on 39. Athletic Bilbao have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLD), while Levante have won 2 of 5 (WDLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 1, Levante won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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