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FTMatchday 5

Athletic Bilbao vs Elche: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1480

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoDLLWW
ElcheWDLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao8+512
2Elche9-39

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Elche2026-02-20
  • Elche 0–0 Athletic Bilbao2025-10-19

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Elche in the La Liga on 12 September 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 7th on 12 points and Elche are 14th on 9. Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of their last 5 (DLLWW), while Elche have won 1 of 5 (WDLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 1, Elche won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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