Athletic Bilbao vs Elche: Prediction
📍 San Mamés Barria
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 11'Aleix Febasyellow card
- 45'Lucas Cepedayellow card
- Unai Gómezyellow card55'
- ⚽Gorka Guruzetaassist Yuri Berchiche64'
- Iñigo Lekueyellow card67'
- 68'⚽André Silvapenalty
- ⇄Alejandro Regoon70'
- ⇄Unai Gómezon70'
- ⇄Oihan Sanceton75'
- 75'⇄Álvaro Rodríguezon
- 75'⇄Léo Pétroton
- 75'⇄Tete Morenteon
- ⇄Iñigo Lekueon80'
- ⇄Iñaki Williamson80'
- 81'⇄Germán Valeraon
- 88'Pedro Bigasyellow card
- ⚽Gorka Guruzetapenalty89'
- 90'⇄Pedro Bigason
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 46%Possession54%
- 3.19Expected goals (xG)0.82
- 18Shots2
- 8Shots on target2
- 4Corners1
- 18Fouls9
- 3Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides2
- 1Saves6
- 351Passes442
Line-ups
Athletic Bilbao
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 9Iñaki Williams
- 17Yuri Berchiche
- 1Unai Simón
- 11Gorka Guruzeta
- 8Oihan Sancet
- 3Dani Vivian
- 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
- 15Iñigo Lekue
- 20Unai Gómez
- 30Alejandro Rego
Elche
- 9André Silva
- 6Pedro Bigas
- 15Tete Morente
- 14Aleix Febas
- 23Víctor Chust
- 1Matías Dituro
- 21Léo Pétrot
- 11Germán Valera
- 8Marc Aguado
- 20Álvaro Rodríguez
- 24Lucas Cepeda
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoLLDWW
ElcheDLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | -12 | 41 |
| 2 | Elche | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Elche2026-09-12
- Elche 0–0 Athletic Bilbao2025-10-19
Match preview
Athletic Bilbao host Elche in the La Liga on 20 February 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Elche are 15th on 40. Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of their last 5 (LLDWW), while Elche have won 0 of 5 (DLLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 0, Elche won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
