Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
📍 San Mamés Barria
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretayellow card19'
- 30'Marianoyellow card
- 46'⇄Jon Guridion
- 46'⇄Marianoon
- 46'⇄Carlos Vicenteon
- 49'Nahuel Tenagliayellow card
- Aitor Paredesyellow card53'
- 57'⚽Álex Berenguerown goal
- ⇄Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon59'
- ⇄Gorka Guruzetaon59'
- ⇄Oihan Sanceton68'
- 75'⇄Carles Aleñáon
- ⇄Álex Berengueron80'
- ⇄Iñaki Williamson80'
- 85'Jon Pachecoyellow card
- 89'⇄Moussa Diarraon
- Urko Izetayellow card90'
- 90'Pablo Ibáñezyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 58%Possession42%
- 1Expected goals (xG)0
- 12Shots4
- 3Shots on target2
- 6Corners6
- 17Fouls21
- 4Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 2Saves3
- 456Passes349
Line-ups
Athletic Bilbao
- 9Iñaki Williams
- 17Yuri Berchiche
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 1Unai Simón
- 11Gorka Guruzeta
- 8Oihan Sancet
- 3Dani Vivian
- 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
- 4Aitor Paredes
- 12Jesús Areso
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
Deportivo Alavés
- 9Mariano
- 18Jon Guridi
- 10Carles Aleñá
- 1Antonio Sivera
- 22Moussa Diarra
- 17Jonathan Otto
- 8Antonio Blanco
- 14Nahuel Tenaglia
- 19Pablo Ibáñez
- 2Facundo Garcés
- 7Carlos Vicente
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoWW
Deportivo AlavésWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Alavés | 35 | -8 | 43 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | -12 | 41 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 0–0 Deportivo Alavés2026-09-19
- Deportivo Alavés 2–4 Athletic Bilbao2026-05-02
Match preview
Athletic Bilbao host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 13 September 2025. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of their last 2 (WW), while Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of 2 (WD). In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 1, Deportivo Alavés won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
